Hi so for today’s market there is a short straddle trade which was executed it ended in overall loss would want to know your thoughts on what could have been better and any other advise that you would have
nifty 17100 CE @ 131
nifty 17100 pe @ 127
As market went down sl hit for pe at 191
holding the ce till full market end hours finally exited it at 125 overall a loss
Let me know what could have been better and any advise that you would have
Thank you
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Don’t you use Sensibull or Opstra before deploying these strategies?
No i was aware that opstra is for backtesting only and for live data you need to pay subscription
Let me know if i need to update myself and include in my daily strategies and will surely add
What I think is as options are risky, it is better to check the strategies before deploying in real time. We will know how much we can gain or lose before market opens. Of course, as the premiums change, the gain and loss will change too, but we will have good idea before hand.
And we can even try different adjustment scenarios to either increase the gain or decrease the loss before and can be ready when market opens, not that market will not surprise us, but we will have some idea about the loss at least, particularly when we are selling.
I use Sensibull, so I am saying this. I don’t know about Opstra.
so how i got to this is i had bought the subscription of opstra there it had the option simulator in that i rigorously tested straddles purely intraday and it showed good results in log terms payoff was positive so after that i did paper trades and then executed it
from the first day of real deployment out of 17 trading days red are only 2
Problem is that when in green i exited it very early and like the example of today when in red i tend to hold it as per the rules that i had backtested result is that thse two days have eaten up the green days and net now in 0
So I wrote this here hoping to seek some advise on probably something that i was doing wrong
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I have more or less the same experience as you.
So you are not taking positional trades and are deploying these strategies intraday only, and booked profits early and waited till EOD for the market to reverse? Why are you booking profits early, did you not have target and stop loss before taking the trade?
I don’t know if back testing rules work 100% the same in live market, particularly when market is unpredictable with calls and puts both going up and down.
And what was your view for today, did you choose short straddle thinking market will be range bound?
On a side note, no gain or no loss after 17 trades does not look that bad, compared to the experience you got in the market.
Probably you are right i should still to green days as i stick to red and today yes i was aiming it to be range bound and the premiums were good so 100 points plus minus i was good but I guess probably the gamma spiked and it resulted in this
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It will work most of times but one good gap up or down will erode entire profits made . And also it depends on which day you take it . Might not work from Thursday to Friday on many days . Plus it is assuming premium decay but what if premiums are building up before any event or volatility grows . And there is something we can’t measure ie market sentiment, one value may increase and other won’t bulge . Bottomline lot of understanding is required before you you do it naked . Till then hedge positions with option buy at otm, but it will eat away much of the profit, though you can take more lots due margin benefit but more lots means it kinda becomes leveraged and beats the purpose of risk management